Cheltenham Festival Tips : Champion Hurdle, Supreme Novices – What to back on Day One?

Cheltenham Day one with the latest Cheltenham tips, Supreme Novices, Arkle & Champion Hurdle, including Hurricane Fly & The New One.

Every day at the Cheltenham Festival, we’re going to ask racing tipster Lewis Jones what his best bet of the day is. Day One sees the Supreme Novice Hurdle and Champion Hurdle take centre stage but Lewis is going elsewhere for his tip, recommending a 5/1 shot in the National Hunt Chase at 4:40.

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Good luck if you’re following him…

Shotgun Paddy is only a novice in name. His latest win in the Classic Chase at Warwick – a notoriously tough handicap – had all the hallmarks of a chaser well beyond his years.

This mature mature-up makes him the one to beat in the Terry Biddlecombe National Hunt Chase Amateur Riders´ Novices´ Chase on Day One of the Cheltenham Festival.

Trained by talented handler Emma Lavelle, Shotgun Paddy has always been earmarked as a potential top-class chaser over three miles and further.

He came to my attention when destroying a top-class novice chaser field at Chepstow on his debut. He travelled beautifully in behind the leaders that day and jumped nicely throughout to beat the highly-regarded Paul Nicholls-inmate Just A Par, who went onto frank the form considerably before flopping when favourite for the Feltham Novices Chase at Kempton.

Shotgun Paddy didn’t find his way back to a winners enclosure until his win at Warwick, but twice running sound races behind another of Nicholls’ talented chasers Black Thunder hardly should be looked upon with any negativity.

At Warwick everything came together and he was far too good on the day, even against experienced chasers such as Carruthers, who ran somewhere near his best to get within six lengths of the winner.

Having just his fourth start over fences on this handicap debut was impressive and the fact he proved so strong at the finish suggests he’ll have no trouble going further when taking on the tough four miles around Prestbury Park on Tuesday.

Latching onto a horse in this race who has already shown what he can do when the gun is pointed to his head in a handicap race is a key angle to solve when assessing this four mile contest.

Butlin’s Cabin and Poker De Sivola have both won this race having won a valuable handicap before heading to Cheltenham and Shotgun Paddy certainly looks in the same mould as them.

Lavelle’s charge is a terrific jumper, travels well in big fields and finds plenty when off the bridle. He’s the one to beat and the 5/1 is a gift.

Lewis Jones has a wealth of experience in both online and offline sports media despite his young age, and has worked at a variety of well known brands and publications in the UK. Follow him on Google+

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