Two title contenders lock horns at the Etihad Stadium, as Manchester City welcome Tottenham with both sets of fans knowing that a defeat here could end their title challenge despite the early season nature.
City are like chalk and cheese at the minute. At home they are immovable, beating everything that gets put in front of them and scoring a huge amount of goals in the process. But away from home they look anything but title contenders having slipped up at Sunderland and Aston Villa this season.
Even though this is a home match, this vulnerable nature to their game will be seized upon by Spurs, who unlike City, are terrible at home but fantastic on the road. Tottenham have won the same number of points away from home this season as they have at White Hart Lane (10), this despite playing one game less away.
It’s for this reason punters may want to consider having a bet on the away side to trouble the former Premier League champions at 5/1 with Paddy Power or at 7/2 on the draw no bet market. City are strong favourites and can be punted at a very short 7/10 while the draw looks a big runner at 3/1.
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Even though we like the chances of Spurs in the outright betting, our focus is on the game to produce goals with both teams to score rating as the next best.
Even though they have only scored a measly nine goals in 11 games, Spurs have attempted the most shots at goal this season (157 – excluding blocked), but have the worst shot conversion rate and have come up against some impressive goalkeeping displays, see Tim Krul against Newcastle.
Man City have scored in every one of their last 55 Premier League home matches, stretching back to 2010, while Tottenham’s boss Andre Villas-Boas always tends to employ an attacking style against the big boys. In 17 matches as a manager in the Premier League against top four sides, Villas Boas teams have conceded in every one and have scored themselves in 16 of those.
Those 17 games have averaged 4.05 goals a game too, with some Premier League crackers amongst the results, including Arsenal’s 5-3 win over Chelsea and Tottenham’s amazing 3-2 win at Manchester United. This makes the 4/5 with Bet365 for both teams to score look very attractive and punters should be filling their boots.
Combining our two predictions in terms of a Tottenham win and a high scoring game, point towards a small stakes punt on the visitors to win 3-2 at 66/1.