Swansea City’s meteoric rise from League Two plodders to European big-hitters probably peaked when they demolished Spanish giants Valencia 3-0 earlier this season and they get another chance to showcase their Europa League pedigree tonight at the Liberty Stadium.
The visiting Spanish high-flyers will be looking for revenge, for sure.
A home win against Valencia will guarantee qualification for Swansea, who have dropped points on the road but should make it through to the next stage no matter what happens in this game.
Meanwhile, since losing at home to the Welsh club, Valencia have won three consecutive games in the Europa League and have safely made it through to the last 32.
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Djukic’s men scored 10 goals in those three games too, highlighting the attacking danger they will provide on Swansea’s shoulders.
At the prices and when analysing past trends when Valencia have played in the UK, faith has to be with Swansea to get maximum points from this intriguing clash.
Valencia have only won three times in 18 trips to English league sides in European competition (D11 L4) and Los Che have scored just seven times in their last 13 games in the United Kingdom, never scoring more than a solitary goal in any of those games.
These trends make the 5/4 with Bet365 very appealing for a home win with punters advised to get stuck into the hosts, especially with the chance of a visiting Valencia taking their foot off the gas having already achieved qualification.
Goals should be on the menu too.
Valencia, who have actually been well backed for the victory at 5/2, have scored in all of their last 10 European away games, last drawing a blank at Chelsea in December 2011. This points to a confident bet on the game to produce over 2.5 as additionally, high scoring Valencia have seen seven of their last eight games feature more than 2.5 goals.
That bet can be backed at a tempting 10/11.
Goalscorer bets also come to the party when these predicted high scoring encounters are in action, and our eyes our drawn to the chances of Wilfried Bony finding the net. Including qualifiers, Bony has found the net five times in seven European appearances for the Swans and seems to enjoy filling the void left by the injured Michu.
The explosive centre-forward is a well backed 11/2 shot to fire first and a safer option at 6/4 to find the net at any time during the game.